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elections

Duque vs. Maduro: A New Crisis on the Horizon?

Duque vs. Maduro: A New Crisis on the Horizon?

Aug 13, 2018

Relations between Venezuela and Colombia have had good times, of harmony, friendship and good neighborliness, and hostile times, that are complicated and with backs turned to the 2,219 kilometers of problems we share. In the 20th century, the best decade was that of the nineties, where through the mechanisms created...

Mexico: What to Expect from AMLO

Mexico: What to Expect from AMLO

Jul 9, 2018

Mexico’s July 1st presidential election took place in a context of high polarization marked by the general rejection of the policies of the traditional parties PRI and PAN. Corruption at all levels of the federal, state and municipal government, together with the high figures of violence (political, by the cartels),...

In-Depth Analysis of 1st Round Presidential Elections in Colombia

In-Depth Analysis of 1st Round Presidential Elections in Colombia

Jun 1, 2018

by Maria Teresa Belandria, Fulbright Research Scholar Visiting Professor at William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies at National Defense University, and Asymmetrica consultant (this is the English version of the previous blog by Ms. Belandria) On Sunday, 27 May 2018 the first round of elections was held in...

Iván Duque Will Be Colombia’s Next President

Iván Duque Will Be Colombia’s Next President

May 28, 2018

The result of Sunday's first round elections in Colombia (which had that country's highest electoral participation in 20 years) are that conservative candidate Iván Duque will face former M-19 guerrillero (and local chavista) Gustavo Petro in June 17th's second round of voting. We predict Iván Duque will win Colombia's presidency.  Here are the scenarios....

Iran’s Upcoming Elections: What to Expect

Iran’s Upcoming Elections: What to Expect

May 6, 2017

by Kimya Zahedi Iranians vote for their next president on May 19th. Both the immediate outcome and longer term consequences of that election will impact both regional relations within the Middle East and the US role in the region. The Iranian Electoral System In the eyes of the Iranian state,...

Ecuador’s Elections: Friendlier Business Environment Probable

Ecuador’s Elections: Friendlier Business Environment Probable

Feb 20, 2017

by Dr. Vanessa Neumann Yesterday's elections in Ecuador are unfolding as Asymmetrica predicted in December 2016 in scenarios we constructed for a European private equity firm. Ecuadoreans took to the polls on 19 February 2017, just two days after a major earthquake centered on Guayaquíl killed 41 people. However, Ecuador...

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