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In-Depth Analysis of 1st Round Presidential Elections in Colombia
by Maria Teresa Belandria, Fulbright Research Scholar Visiting Professor at William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies at National Defense University, and Asymmetrica consultant (this is the English version of the previous blog by Ms. Belandria) On Sunday, 27 May 2018 the first round of elections was held in...
Chavista Sympathizer Lenín Moreno Is New President of Ecuador
by Dr. Vanessa Neumann We were right: as we predicted in our previous blog, Lenín Moreno became the new President of Ecuador in last night's second round elections. Since our electoral forecast was correct, you might do well to read our economic forecast. Last night was not without its excitement though. Right wing...
Venezuela: Killings & Detentions Close Options
by Dr. Vanessa Neumann While the world does not pay attention, the Chavista rulers in Venezuela are closing regime change options by detaining, torturing and killing the emergent effective leaders of the opposition. The people being targeted are members of opposition (MUD) political parties forming an alliance in the more radical wing of the...
Argentina Comes to Market: New Investment Opportunities
Last week saw Argentina's return to international capital markets with its well-oversubscribed $16.5 billion bond offering that generated $70 billion of offers. The three-, five-, and ten-year tranches all tightened their yields in response to their strong demand; the only outlier was the thirty-year tranche, which traded slightly under issue...