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Duque vs. Maduro: ¿Nueva Crisis en el Horizonte?
Las relaciones entre Venezuela y Colombia han tenido tiempos buenos, de concordia, amistad y buena vecindad, y tiempos hostiles, complicados y de espaldas a los 2.219 kilómetros de problemas que compartimos. En el siglo 20, la mejor década fue la de los años noventa, donde a través de los mecanismos creados por el...
Mexico: What to Expect from AMLO
Mexico’s July 1st presidential election took place in a context of high polarization marked by the general rejection of the policies of the traditional parties PRI and PAN. Corruption at all levels of the federal, state and municipal government, together with the high figures of violence (political, by the cartels),...
In-Depth Analysis of 1st Round Presidential Elections in Colombia
by Maria Teresa Belandria, Fulbright Research Scholar Visiting Professor at William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies at National Defense University, and Asymmetrica consultant (this is the English version of the previous blog by Ms. Belandria) On Sunday, 27 May 2018 the first round of elections was held in...
Análisis de 1ra Vuelta de Elecciones en Colombia
por Maria Teresa Belandria, Fulbright Research Scholar Visiting Professor en el Centro William J. Perry Center para Estudios de Defensa Hemisféricos en la Universidad Nacional de Defensa en Washington, DC, y consultora a Asymmetrica en temas de seguridad latinomaericana El pasado domingo 27 de mayo se realizó la primera vuelta...
Iván Duque Will Be Colombia’s Next President
The result of Sunday's first round elections in Colombia (which had that country's highest electoral participation in 20 years) are that conservative candidate Iván Duque will face former M-19 guerrillero (and local chavista) Gustavo Petro in June 17th's second round of voting. We predict Iván Duque will win Colombia's presidency. Here are the scenarios....
Venezuela’s Fake Opposition: How the Regime Kidnapped the People
The chatter in the world of Venezuela watchers this week was about Harvard professor Ricardo Hausmann's proposal for a D-Day Venezuela: he argued the opposition-controlled National Assembly should use its power as the internationally-recognized legitimate government to depose Maduro and request an international military intervention to assist it in restoring...
Twilight of Venezuela’s Idols: Was Today PDVSA’s Day of Reckoning?
Today the joint forces of diplomacy, finance and military might closed in on the regime of Venezuela's president Nicolás Maduro, hastening its demise. Here is what happened today: EU issued sanctions on Venezuela. This significantly complicates next week's renegotiations in Caracas of $160 billion of debt. The negotiations were unsavory...
Saudi Purge: Anti-Corruption or Coup?
It was a cataclysmic weekend in the KSA, as the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia is commonly known. First, Lebanese Prime Minister Saad Hariri (a Sunni) fled to Riyadh and announced his resignation in a televised broadcast from there, citing "the long arms of Hezbollah." He was afraid the Iranian proxy...