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Venezuela: Humanitarian Aid Rebuffed. Now What?
On Saturday, the world saw the horrific images of Maduro's security forces shooting unarmed civilian volunteers carrying humanitarian aid from border distribution points into Venezuela for their desperate compatriots. What trucks did make it into Venezuela, were burned by the criminal regime, literally incinerating life-giving hope for the sick or...
Brazil: Bolsonaro Stabbed, Bond Yield Move Expected
Brazilian politics has always been a bruising contact sport, but the upcoming October 7th elections are even more of a rollercoaster than usual. The highlights are: Lula remains the electoral favorite, but several subsequent court decisions won't let him run, so his PT (Worker's Party) is running Fernando Haddad as...
Still Elevated: Risk of Mexican Peso Move in 7 Days
At Asymmetrica, we are continuing to monitor both the two bilateral NAFTA negotiations (US-Mexico and US-Canada) and the impact on forex risk. While the Canadian dollar remains calm, our Predata signals are revealing nervousness regarding the Mexican peso. On September 1st, the activity around the underlying digital media that are...
Mexico: What to Expect from AMLO
Mexico’s July 1st presidential election took place in a context of high polarization marked by the general rejection of the policies of the traditional parties PRI and PAN. Corruption at all levels of the federal, state and municipal government, together with the high figures of violence (political, by the cartels),...
In-Depth Analysis of 1st Round Presidential Elections in Colombia
by Maria Teresa Belandria, Fulbright Research Scholar Visiting Professor at William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies at National Defense University, and Asymmetrica consultant (this is the English version of the previous blog by Ms. Belandria) On Sunday, 27 May 2018 the first round of elections was held in...
Análisis de 1ra Vuelta de Elecciones en Colombia
por Maria Teresa Belandria, Fulbright Research Scholar Visiting Professor en el Centro William J. Perry Center para Estudios de Defensa Hemisféricos en la Universidad Nacional de Defensa en Washington, DC, y consultora a Asymmetrica en temas de seguridad latinomaericana El pasado domingo 27 de mayo se realizó la primera vuelta...