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Still Elevated: Risk of Mexican Peso Move in 7 Days
At Asymmetrica, we are continuing to monitor both the two bilateral NAFTA negotiations (US-Mexico and US-Canada) and the impact on forex risk. While the Canadian dollar remains calm, our Predata signals are revealing nervousness regarding the Mexican peso. On September 1st, the activity around the underlying digital media that are...
Mexico: What to Expect from AMLO
Mexico’s July 1st presidential election took place in a context of high polarization marked by the general rejection of the policies of the traditional parties PRI and PAN. Corruption at all levels of the federal, state and municipal government, together with the high figures of violence (political, by the cartels),...
In-Depth Analysis of 1st Round Presidential Elections in Colombia
by Maria Teresa Belandria, Fulbright Research Scholar Visiting Professor at William J. Perry Center for Hemispheric Defense Studies at National Defense University, and Asymmetrica consultant (this is the English version of the previous blog by Ms. Belandria) On Sunday, 27 May 2018 the first round of elections was held in...
Análisis de 1ra Vuelta de Elecciones en Colombia
por Maria Teresa Belandria, Fulbright Research Scholar Visiting Professor en el Centro William J. Perry Center para Estudios de Defensa Hemisféricos en la Universidad Nacional de Defensa en Washington, DC, y consultora a Asymmetrica en temas de seguridad latinomaericana El pasado domingo 27 de mayo se realizó la primera vuelta...
Iván Duque Will Be Colombia’s Next President
The result of Sunday's first round elections in Colombia (which had that country's highest electoral participation in 20 years) are that conservative candidate Iván Duque will face former M-19 guerrillero (and local chavista) Gustavo Petro in June 17th's second round of voting. We predict Iván Duque will win Colombia's presidency. Here are the scenarios....
Venezuela’s Fake Opposition: How the Regime Kidnapped the People
The chatter in the world of Venezuela watchers this week was about Harvard professor Ricardo Hausmann's proposal for a D-Day Venezuela: he argued the opposition-controlled National Assembly should use its power as the internationally-recognized legitimate government to depose Maduro and request an international military intervention to assist it in restoring...